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Asia Pacific Monetary
Australian Dollar
Written by Hermann Andrew   
Monday, 14 June 2010 20:40

 

The Australian dollar is currently the sixth-most-traded currency in the world foreign exchange markets behind the US dollar, the euro, the yen, the pound sterling, and the Swiss franc, (accounting in 2007).  The Australian dollar is popular with currency traders due to comparatively high interest rates in Australia, the relative freedom of the foreign exchange market from government intervention, the general stability of Australia's economy and political system, and the prevailing view that the Australian dollar offers diversification benefits in a portfolio containing the major world currencies, especially because of its greater exposure to Asian economies and the commodities cycle.

The Australian dollar (sign: $; code: AUD) is the currency of the Commonwealth of Australia, including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island, as well as the independent Pacific Island states of Kiribati, Nauru and Tuvalu. Within Australia it is almost always abbreviated with the dollar sign ($), with A$ or AU$ sometimes used informally to distinguish it from other dollar-denominated currencies.

The dollar was introduced on 14 February 1966, replacing the Australian pound (distinct from the pound sterling since 1931) with a decimal currency. The initial rate of conversion was two dollars per pound, or ten shillings per dollar. Its exchange rate was pegged to the sterling at a rate of 1 dollar = 8 shillings (2.50 dollars = 1 pound).

In 1967, Australia effectively left the sterling era. When the sterling was devalued in 1967 against the U.S. dollar, the Australian dollar did not follow. It maintained its peg to the U.S. dollar at the same rate of 1 Australian dollar = 1.12 U.S. dollars.

In 1966, when the Australian dollar was introduced, the international currency relationships were maintained under the Bretton Woods system, a fixed exchange rate system using a U.S. dollar standard. The Australian dollar, however, was effectively pegged to the British pound at an equivalent value of approximately 1 gram of gold.

On 8 December 1983, the Australian dollar was floated, allowing its value to fluctuate dependent on supply and demand on international money markets. Australia maintained a fixed exchange rate between the Australian and British pounds, initially at par, and later at 0.8 GBP (16 shillings sterling).

 From 1946 to 1971, Australia maintained a peg under the Bretton Woods system, a fixed exchange rate system that pegged the U.S. dollar to gold, but the Australian dollar was effectively pegged to the sterling until 1967. With the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system in 1971, Australia converted the traditional peg to a fluctuating rate against the US dollar.

In September 1974, Australia valuated the dollar against a basket of currencies called the trade weighted index (TWI) in an effort to reduce the fluctuations associated with its tie to the US dollar. The TWI valuation was changed in November 1976 to a periodically adjusted valuation.

On 9 December 1983, the Australian Labor government led by Prime Minister Bob Hawke and Treasurer Paul Keating floated the Australian dollar, and the exchange rate of the Australian dollar reflected the balance of payments. The terms of trade does not determine the value of the dollar but it is a major component of the balance of payments. This means the relative value of the dollar varies significantly during the business cycle, rallying during global booms as Australia exports raw materials, and falling when mineral prices slump or when domestic spending overshadows the export earnings outlook.

 

 

 

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Yen Weaker

 

The dollar surged against the Japanese yen in the aftermath of the resignation of increasingly out-of-favor Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama and his deputy. The likely successor is thought to be Finance Minister Naoto Kan, who is thought to prefer a weaker yen, which would benefit Japan’s exporters. The yen slipped to beyond ¥92.00 per dollar for the first time in two weeks.

Picked by Yukio Hatoyama to be the new Finance Minister on January 6, 2010, Kan in his first news conference, announced his priority was stimulating growth and took the unusual step of naming a specific dollar-yen level as optimal to help exporters and stimulate the economy. "There are a lot of voices in the business world saying that (the dollar) around ¥95 is appropriate in terms of trade," he said.

Kan has little financial or economic policy making experience. His role in the cabinet since Yukio Hatoyama led the DPJ to victory in last August’s elections has been to wrench policy-setting powers away from ministry bureaucrats and give them to elected officials.
 

Last Updated on Wednesday, 02 June 2010 18:52
 
HOUSE PRICE INDEXES - AUSTRALIA

 

               Tracks changes in housing prices in Australia 's eight provincial capital cities: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, Hobart, Darwin, and Canberra. The headline number is the weighted average percentage change from the previous quarter. Like any price index, the housing price indexes measure inflationary pressures, in this case specifically from the housing sector. The headline number is the quarterly percentage change in the index.


MARCH KEY FIGURES
                                                Dec Qtr 09 to Mar Qtr 10               Mar Qtr 09 to Mar Qtr 10
Established house prices                           % change                                 % change

Weighted average
of eight capital cities                                  4.8                                              20.0                        


Sydney                                                    5.3                                              21.0
Melbourne                                                6.7                                              27.7
Brisbane                                                   2.0                                             12.1
Adelaide                                                   2.7                                             10.8
Perth                                                       3.5                                             15.0
Hobart                                                     4.2                                             14.1
Darwin                                                     3.6                                             17.5
Canberra                                                  5.4                                             20.6





MARCH KEY POINTS


         Preliminary estimates show the price index for established houses for the weighted average of the eight capital cities increased 4.8% in the March quarter 2010.  The main contributors to the weighted average of the eight capital cities were Melbourne (+6.7%) and Sydney (+5.3%). The strongest growth in these two cities came from established houses with relatively high prices. There were also positive contributions from Perth (+3.5%), Brisbane (+2.0%), Adelaide (+2.7%), Canberra (+5.4%), Hobart (+4.2%) and Darwin (+3.6%).
        The movement in the preliminary established house price index for the weighted average of the eight capital cities between September quarter 2009 and December quarter 2009 has been revised from an estimated increase of 5.2% to an estimated increase of 5.1%.


HOUSE PRICE RISES TO EXTEND INTO 2010

Property owners will continue to see the value of their homes rise in the new year, with house prices across the nation already exceeding pre-global financial crisis levels.
The markets of Sydney and Melbourne have led the recovery, with Melbourne alone recording a 12.5 per cent rise, in  since March, Australian Property Monitors (APM) says.
``Property owners will continue to see their investment grow in the new year, with house prices already exceeding pre-global financial crisis levels nationally by nearly three per cent, and growth is expected to continue well into 2010,'' APM said in a statement today.
The data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed the value of home loans approved hit $17.05 billion in October, up from $13.44 billion a year before.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 02 June 2010 18:12
 
Black Swan
Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 11 May 2010 04:21

Observing an event once does not predict it will occur again in the future, and the observation of even a million white swans does not justify the statement "all swans are white."


 The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" [Paperback] Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Author)alt

 
Last Updated on Sunday, 16 May 2010 20:46
 
A Beginner's Guide to Day Trading Online (2nd edition) (Paperback)
Written by Administrator   
Thursday, 15 April 2010 00:57

 

Thinking I could transfer my 20+ years of quite successful investing experience to a more active trading style, I started online trading about 8 months ago. Reading this book was like reading my own journal of the past 8 months's painful experience! Reading this book before I started may not have prevented me from making those mistakes, but it most likely would have helped me recognize them once made and stopped me from repeating them over and over, piling up ever more losses! Just as she describes, the good news is you do turn a corner to profitable trades once you learn some very basic but important lessons. This book can shorten that time for beginners.

Her section on Boot Camp is very good. Her system has rank beginners learning and up and running in 2 weeks what took me about 3-4 months to discover from everyone who would teach me.

There's also more than enough technical strategies presented which traders from beginners to more experienced ones can apply and use daily.

For complete review can follow this review.alt

 

Last Updated on Monday, 24 May 2010 09:25
 
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